Ecclestone selects Alabama Graphite as one-of-five most likely to prosper

In working up an institutional research piece on Alabama Graphite Corp. (TSXV: ALP | OTCQB: ABGPF) over the last month a few things have struck me and are worth highlighting. These are elements of the company’s story which are unique and separate it out from the pack in the graphite “race”.

Past-Production is Princely

We keep repeating the mantra of the moment that “production is king”. By implication past-production is princely. The recent addition of the former Bama mine, which produced until the 1940s, was a major coup for Alabama Graphite. Already favorable results are flowing in from initial work at the old pits. However, closer examination of the details of the Coosa project shows that this also hosts the old Fixico mine. This gives the company’s exploration team, in some ways, a pre-drawn roadmap to where the best chances of proving up mineable deposits may be. We would also note that as past-production ceased in most cases because of a flood of imported graphite into the US economy, it is NOT the case that mines closed due to lack of material.

The Climatic Setting

Not much thought has gone into this point but very few of the globe’s graphite deposits are in climatologically benign locations. Thus far most of what is being served up by explorers is in meteorologically-challenged locations, to put it politely. This is either areas with very severe winters (not naming names you know where we mean) or tropical or semi-tropical locales. In fact the only deposits that readily come to mind as being in temperate climes, with easy year-round working conditions, are the old “pencil-lead” deposits of northern England and those areas being developed by Alabama Graphite…

Infrastructure

With ALP’s projects being near surface and oxidized (with good friability) they also tick the box for lower end capex. This neck of the Alabama woods (quite literally) has a network of heavy duty logging roads and electrical and water provision. Moreover with what looks like being a string of projects in the same general vicinity (and most importantly with trucking distance of each other) the potential exists for the company to start up in a modular mode adding capacity as further resources are brought into play. All this minimizes potential capex and complications.

The US’s Strategic Blindspot

The German, Japanese and South Korean end-users of many critical commodities have taken fright in recent years at the increasing dominance of the Chinese in key minerals. Not only does this threaten a potential cut-off of supply in moments of international threat but also gives the Chinese a key advantage to “eat the lunch” of Western manufacturers in high-value goods like machine tools, for example.

The US has blithely carried on with a just-in-time bottom-line oriented culture that has eschewed developing internal supply lines. Over and over again this has shown to be the “feet of clay” of the US economy. After the recent Russian supply scare it’s back to business as usual. However the newest trend of on-shoring means that it makes sense for US high-value added products to have inputs, like graphite, to hand rather than in locations with potentially disruptible supply lines in an increasingly tense world.

The graphite deposits of Alabama were exploited in World War One, then World War Two when, on both occasions, the US economy was cut off from imported supplies. But after both events the mining efforts were allowed to languish back into obscurity (and supply vulnerability again). Isn’t this what happened in Tin, Rare Earths, Antimony and dare we mention it, Uranium?

The one advantage of this stop/start approach to resource security is that, at least in graphite, the resources were never exhausted and thus have been sitting there awaiting the fair wind of market forces to breathe life back into the production of these minerals.

Alabama – Way to Go

With many past prolific mining jurisdictions giving lips-service to being mining friendly and then putting enormous roadblocks in the way (British Columbia and New Brunswick to name two offenders) it is interesting to note that Alabama Graphite finds itself working in its eponymous state that seemingly cannot wait to see some serious large scale mining restart in its territory. The state has in the past hosted mines in graphite, iron ore, gold, tin, tantalum  and marble.

As for the State’s political climate, political winds can change (however we do not view this as likely in the foreseeable future in Alabama). Though we would note that, economically, it is hard to discriminate between Republicans or Democrats in the South. Alabama has set job growth and economic development as a priority for the next twenty years.  Every State agency that touches job creation has bought into this mission.

Alabama is a delegated State for implementation of USEPA regulations and Alabama is a delegated state for implementation of USEPA regulations and environmental laws, and  the state has managed to work almost seamlessly in its coincidental involvement with Federal agencies such as the USACE. The permitting agency sets a target of six months from receipt of completed application to grant of permit. Alabama Graphite has positioned itself well by involving, through information meetings, the environmental and conservation advocates as well as other interest groups and stakeholders on the front end of the project. Alabama Graphite has also involved the local government and community in its efforts to gather support to ensure that permitting moves smoothly.

Conclusion

The Graphite space does not have the same “Crowd scene from the Ten Commandments” feel that the Rare Earth space had and yet not all the graphite players are going to make it either. Those with the best chances of not only surviving, but also prospering, are those that “tick” the most boxes and Alabama Graphite in most respects satisfies the criteria for doable projects, in a politically and climatologically benign location with the best access to the US end-users. As far as management is concerned, it has a heavyweight team on the board that has done it before at Timcal’s Quebec mine.

As if that was not enough, there is also the factor of past proven mineability of these deposits and the potential to satisfy the US’s strategic need for a graphite supply not subject to foreign interruption. Our analysis leads us to believe that Alabama Graphite ranks in the top five graphite stocks most likely to prosper over the coming years.




Alabama Graphite has the ideal conditions to become the USA’s main graphite producer

USAMap-ALBThe USA (and the EU for that matter) has placed graphite on the list of strategically important materials. However, as is well known, 70-80 % of mineral graphite comes from China. Graphite will become increasingly used in batteries for electric vehicles and smartphones alike as well as in steel manufacturing. Demand has increased significantly in recent years. The West – especially as relations have cooled lately – is anxious to break its reliance on Chinese suppliers. Americans have recently been re-exploring the benefits of self reliance and resource independence. Insofar as this translates to the world of graphite, Alabama Graphite Corp (‘Alabama Graphite’, TSXV: ALP | OTCQB: ABGPF) could become the first graphite mine to start operating in the United States with the potential to address growing Red, White and Blue demand.

Alabama Graphite’s potential is supported by the fact that the only area in the United States where graphite has been mined profitably is, in fact, the so-called Alabama graphite belt. Indeed, many graphite mines were in operation for decades in Alabama before demand slowed and production stopped. Perhaps this explains why ‘Alabama Graphite’ has chosen to name itself after what was until not long ago the main graphite producing area in the USA. The State of Alabama can offer the right infrastructure – given its graphite past – to ease commissioning while the year round warm weather eases operations. The Project covers an area of ​​40,000 acres and is located in a an area well known for its crystalline flake graphite.

Alabama Graphite’s Coosa Graphite Project (Coosa) is close to all necessary power sources, it is only two kilometers away from the main highway, has unlimited water supply, it is three hours away from the nearest shipping port and the lowest winter temperatures that can be expected are in the 1 – 13 degrees Celsius range. In addition, the State of Alabama is currently making great efforts to attract investment because it is focused on creating jobs and reduce the unemployment burden on State coffers. The State has offered tax breaks and support for all industrial projects. In other words, Alabama Graphite can expect an easy approval and permit process. In other words, the Alabama State regulators have conspired with its geology and mining past to provide essentially ideal mining conditions for Alabama Graphite.

The Coosa project itself would be able to support US domestic demand as well as export capacity because of both the size and quality of the resource. The abundant historical graphite mining record in Alabama shows that the average content of the Alabama graphite belt is 4-6 % with peaks of 8% and 12%, comparable to the best projects in Quebec or Madagascar (or China for that matter) which are also in the 7-12% range. The drill targets identified in summer 2013 suggested that some could be as thick as 515 meters, a rather high and unique value in the sector.
Most of the flakes identified so far were of the medium variety (Large Flakes: +50 mesh, Medium flakes: +80 mesh, Small Flakes: +100 mesh).

On May 14, Alabama Graphite announced the appointment of Daniel P. Goffaux to its board. Mr. Goffaux is an experienced mining industry manager who served as  President of Stratmin Graphite Inc. (now Timcal Canada Inc.) primarily responsible for the development of the Stratmin Graphite mine, the first (and so far the only ) graphite producer in North America. Mr. Goffaux was entrusted with the preparation of the Feasibility Report, oversaw the construction of the mill and ran the operation, which received an ISO 2003 certification within 3 years.

On May 13, Alabama Graphite reported that it has delineated five new target areas within 2.5 kilometers of all previously defined resources zones at the Coosa project. Major Drilling at the five target areas should start in the next few weeks in order to gain the first samples to determine content and the size distribution of the graphite.  If anything, Alabama Graphite has the enviable ‘problem’ of having “too many quality target areas” according to Company officials; nevertheless, the Company intends to step up exploration in order to ensure that it become “the first low-cost producer and just- in-time supplier of high purity flake graphite in the United States of America”.