Welcome to the latest issue of the Technology Metals Report (TMR), brought to you by the Critical Minerals Institute (CMI). In this edition, we compile the most impactful stories shared by our CMI Directors over the past week, reflecting the dynamic and evolving nature of the critical minerals and technology metals industry. Among the key stories featured in this report are Ford Motor’s strategic decision to delay its all-electric SUV and truck productions in favor of expanding its hybrid offerings, signaling a broader trend in the automotive sector towards hybrid technologies. The resurgence of the uranium market, with prices doubling due to the growing demand for clean energy, underlines the critical role of uranium in achieving 2050 climate targets. Moreover, the DRC’s decision to suspend nine subcontractors at ERG mines due to non-compliance issues highlights the persistent challenges and evolving regulatory landscape in the cobalt industry. This action reflects a commendable direction by the Congo government towards enhancing industry standards and governance. The entry of Aclara Resources Inc. into the U.S. rare earth processing market was both newsworthy and offered Jack Lifton an opportunity to update readers on the advancements of REE processes in North America today.

This week’s TMR Report also highlights significant developments across the global critical minerals landscape, including the European Union and the United States’ efforts to broaden their reach in securing critical minerals amidst a stalled bilateral agreement, and Ionic Rare Earths Limited’s joint venture with Viridis Mining to establish a rare earth refining and recycling presence in Brazil. The U.S. Department of Energy’s $75 million investment in a Critical Minerals Supply Chain Research Facility aims to reduce reliance on foreign sources and bolster national security. Furthermore, the collaboration between NOVONIX Limited and Lithium Energy Limited to form Axon Graphite Limited through a public listing emphasizes the strategic moves within the natural graphite sector. MP Materials’ awarded tax credit to advance U.S. rare earth magnet manufacturing marks a significant step towards reducing dependency on imported critical materials. Lastly, the extension of Canada’s Mineral Exploration Tax Credit (METC) and the Biden-Harris Administration’s announcement of a $4 billion initiative in tax credits for clean energy supply chain projects underline the ongoing efforts and investments to strengthen the critical minerals sector, underscoring the importance of these developments for our energy security, economic prosperity, and environmental sustainability.

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Ford to delay all-electric SUV, truck to focus on offering hybrid vehicles across its lineup by 2030: (April 04, 2024, Source) — Ford Motor has announced a strategic shift in its electric vehicle (EV) plans, postponing the production of a new all-electric SUV and pickup truck to focus on expanding its hybrid vehicle offerings across its entire North American lineup by 2030. Despite this delay, Ford remains committed to the EV market, planning to continue its investments in electric technology. The production of a three-row SUV in Canada has been rescheduled from 2025 to 2027, and the launch of a next-generation pickup, codenamed “T3,” has been moved from late 2025 to 2026. This decision reflects broader industry trends, with many automakers reassessing their EV strategies amid slower-than-expected adoption rates and high production costs. Additionally, Ford aims to leverage new battery technology to enhance the durability and value of its future EVs, focusing its efforts on newly established plants like the “BlueOval City” in Tennessee, rather than converting existing facilities.

Uranium price creates new ASX boom: (April 04, 2024, Source) — In 2023, uranium prices doubled from US$48 to US$91 per pound, peaking at US$106 in 2024, highlighting a significant recovery from previous lows. This resurgence, fueled by the demand for clean energy and carbon emission reductions, has revived interest in uranium projects, now seen as viable at around US$100 per pound. Global initiatives to expand nuclear energy, with significant investments in new reactors in the US, China, and France, underscore uranium’s critical role in meeting 2050 climate targets. Despite temporary price dips, the market outlook remains positive, driven by global nuclear expansion and supply constraints. This bullish sentiment has revitalized the uranium sector, particularly benefiting ASX-listed companies engaged in uranium exploration and mining, reflecting a broader industry optimism and investment in nuclear energy’s future.

Congo Suspends ERG Subcontractors at Major Cobalt Mine: (April 04, 2024, Source) — The Democratic Republic of Congo has suspended nine subcontractors at Eurasian Resources Group (ERG) mines, citing non-compliance with laws requiring Congolese ownership. This move, announced on March 14, intensifies tensions between ERG and the government, which is pushing for greater domestic benefits from the mining sector. Congo, a major global supplier of cobalt and a significant copper producer, is enforcing regulations to ensure local control of mining operations. The government’s actions also reflect ongoing disputes with ERG over asset development and environmental concerns. Despite the suspensions, ERG insists it adheres to local laws, emphasizing its support for Congolese suppliers and its commitment to legal compliance. The sanctions target subcontractors at Metalkol and Frontier, two key ERG projects in Congo, but are not expected to affect output due to a transitional period for bringing in compliant firms. The controversy highlights Congo’s efforts to secure more benefits from its mineral resources while navigating challenges with international mining companies.

Disruptive Shift to Rare Earth Processing as Aclara Moves into American Market: (April 03, 2024, Source) — Jack Lifton of the Critical Minerals Institute (CMI) offered an analysis on Aclara Resources Inc.‘s (TSX: ARA) strategic entry into the U.S. rare earth processing market. Aclara aims to utilize ionic clay deposits from Chile and Brazil for heavy rare earth elements (HREEs) crucial in magnet manufacturing. They’ve partnered with the Saskatchewan Research Council and Hatch Ltd. for processing facility development. Lifton, however, questioned the project’s ambitious timeline and compared Aclara’s efforts to established players like Energy Fuels Inc. (NYSE American: UUUU | TSX: EFR), which is advancing in light rare earth (LREE) separation. The column highlights the competitive nature of the rare earth market, with Aclara facing challenges from Energy Fuels, MP Materials (NYSE: MP) and Ucore Rare Metals Inc. (TSXV: UCU | OTCQX: UURAF). Lifton suggests Aclara needs deeper industry integration and strategic partnerships, indicating a complex journey ahead in a competitive and technological landscape.

EU, US seek broader reach on critical minerals as own deal stalls: (April 03, 2024, Source) — The European Union (EU) and the United States (US) are not expected to finalize a critical minerals agreement at an upcoming meeting. Despite this, they plan to launch initiatives to partner with resource-rich countries. The EU aims for an accord allowing minerals processed in Europe to be eligible for US clean vehicle incentives, focusing on cobalt, graphite, lithium, manganese, and nickel. A senior European Commission official cited the absence of an imminent deal but confirmed a joint commitment to future agreements. Difficulties include US demands for labor standards verification at mining sites. Moreover, the EU and US are seeking to differentiate their offerings from China’s by emphasizing infrastructure funding, sustainability, and value-added business opportunities for developing countries, with plans to engage with ministers from Namibia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan among others.

Ionic Rare Earths Limited (ASX:IXR) and Viridis Mining to Form REE Refining and Recycling JV in Brazil: (April 03, 2024, Source) — Ionic Rare Earths Limited (ASX:IXR) and Viridis Mining and Minerals Limited (ASX:VMM) have announced a 50:50 joint venture (JV) to establish a dominant position in the global supply chain for Rare Earth Elements (REE) in Brazil. This strategic partnership aims to utilize IonicRE’s intellectual property and Viridis’ global assets to become a leading supplier of high-quality, reliable rare earths crucial for various industries and energy transition. The JV plans to co-fund a Brazilian production facility, aiming to complete a Scoping Study by the end of 2024 and a preliminary feasibility study within 18 months. IonicRE’s recent success in producing rare earth oxides at its Belfast facility and Viridis’ promising Colossus Ionic Adsorption Clay REE Project in Brazil highlight the joint venture’s potential to accelerate growth and leverage Brazil’s rich rare earth resources. This collaboration aligns with Brazil’s ambition to become a global leader in rare earth production, offering an exceptional opportunity for both companies to advance their positions in the rare earth supply chain significantly.

DOE Invests $75 Million to Strengthen Nation’s Critical Minerals Supply Chain: (April 02, 2024, Source) — The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), under President Biden’s Investing in America agenda, announced a $75 million investment for a Critical Minerals Supply Chain Research Facility, aimed at bolstering the nation’s supply chains for critical minerals and materials essential for energy security, economic prosperity, and national security. This initiative, part of the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, focuses on reducing reliance on foreign sources by accelerating the production of critical minerals from diverse sources. The facility will collaborate with other government initiatives and aims to enhance supply chain efficiencies and support a circular economy. A supply chain assessment highlighted the risks of over-reliance on foreign and adversarial sources for these materials, underscoring the importance of this project for the U.S.’s clean energy transition, manufacturing sector revitalization, and overall competitive edge. The project will involve nine national laboratories, emphasizing community engagement and benefits in line with the Justice40 Initiative. This is in addition to FECM’s commitment of $58 million since January 2021 to further support critical mineral and material projects across the country.

NOVONIX Limited and Lithium Energy Limited to Combine Natural Graphite Interests with Intention to Take Combined Business Public: (April 02, 2024, Source) — NOVONIX Limited (NASDAQ: NVX | ASX: NVX) and Lithium Energy Limited (ASX: LEL) are combining their natural graphite exploration interests into a newly formed company, Axon Graphite Limited, aiming for a public listing through an initial public offering (IPO) on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). Both companies will each retain up to 28.57% ownership post-IPO, intending to create a significant natural flake graphite project. This move is designed to unlock value for shareholders of both NOVONIX and LEL, with eligible shareholders given priority in the IPO. The combination of NOVONIX’s Mt. Dromedary project and LEL’s Burke and Corella projects under Axon signifies the development of a major resource aimed at supporting the electric vehicle and energy storage sectors. The IPO seeks to raise between $15 million to $25 million, setting the stage for Axon to become a key player in the battery materials sector, benefiting from the anticipated growth in demand for anode materials and high-grade graphite products.

MP Materials Awarded $58.5 Million to Advance U.S. Rare Earth Magnet Manufacturing: (April 01, 2024, Source) — MP Materials (NYSE: MP) has been awarded a $58.5 million tax credit by the IRS and Treasury, under the Section 48C Advanced Energy Project, to support the construction of the first fully-integrated rare earth magnet manufacturing facility in the United States. This grant was part of a competitive process by the Department of Energy assessing around 250 projects for their viability and environmental impact. The facility will focus on producing neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB) magnets, essential for various applications including electric vehicles, wind turbines, and defense systems. With global demand for these magnets expected to triple by 2035, MP Materials’ initiative aims to commence the commercial production of magnet precursor materials in Fort Worth, Texas, by summer and finished magnets by late 2025, supplying to companies like General Motors. This project addresses the U.S.’s near-total reliance on imports for these critical materials, mainly from China, and aims to establish a sustainable, end-to-end supply chain.

Relief and Renewal: Canada’s METC Extension Breathes New Life into Mineral Exploration: (March 31, 2024, Source) — The Canadian government announced the extension of the Mineral Exploration Tax Credit (METC) until March 31, 2025, addressing concerns in the mining sector over the future of flow-through financings. This move has been met with relief, particularly as the deadline approached without prior confirmation, sparking anxiety among stakeholders. The METC plays a vital role in supporting exploration companies by enhancing flow-through share pricing, thereby facilitating fundraising. Critics, including Peter Clausi from the Critical Minerals Institute (CMI), had voiced concerns over the uncertainty caused by the government’s silence, which hampered planning and investments. The extension is seen as crucial for continued investment in the sector, particularly benefiting junior mining companies and associated industries, including First Nations communities. Despite debates over the sufficiency of the projected $65 million support, the decision signifies the government’s recognition of mining’s importance to Canada’s economy and its commitment to sustainable development and Indigenous economic participation.

Central Asia’s rising role in global rare earth metal competition: (March 31, 2024, Source) — Central Asian countries are becoming increasingly significant in the global competition for rare earth metals, crucial for technological and economic development. Eldaniz Gusseinov and Abakhon Sultonazarov highlight this trend against the backdrop of geopolitical shifts, such as the Ukraine conflict, prompting Western countries to seek alternatives to Russian and Chinese supplies. Central Asia, rich in mineral reserves, is eyed by the West to reduce dependencies, particularly as they move towards renewable energy sources. Kazakhstan emerges as a focal point with substantial reserves of rare earth elements like scandium, yttrium, and lanthanides, pivotal for industries ranging from computing to automobile manufacturing. The U.S. and EU are exploring investments in Kazakhstan to diversify their supply chains. Meanwhile, the U.S. and China vie for influence in the region, leveraging their strategic advantages. Central Asia’s untapped mineral wealth, including significant rare earth deposits, positions it as a critical player in global supply chains, with the potential to alter the dynamics of resource control and economic development amidst great power competition.

Biden-Harris Administration Announces $4 Billion in Tax Credits to Build Clean Energy Supply Chain, Drive Investments, and Lower Costs in Energy Communities: (March 29, 2024, Source) — The Biden-Harris Administration has announced a groundbreaking $4 billion initiative in tax credits to foster over 100 projects across 35 states aimed at bolstering clean energy manufacturing, reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and securing the supply chain for critical minerals. This move, part of President Biden’s Investing in America agenda and funded by the Inflation Reduction Act, represents a major leap forward in the domestic production of clean energy and the strategic development of critical minerals essential for energy independence and technological advancement. Managed by the Department of Energy (DOE) in partnership with the Treasury and the IRS, the initiative focuses on a diverse range of projects, including significant investment in communities historically dependent on fossil fuels, aiming to create high-quality jobs and promote a transition to a cleaner economy. The Qualifying Advanced Energy Project Tax Credit (48C) program, rejuvenated with a $10 billion boost from the Inflation Reduction Act, provides up to a 30% investment tax credit for approved projects that meet specific wage and apprenticeship standards. With a particular emphasis on critical minerals recycling, processing, and refining, this program is a key component of the Administration’s strategy to ensure a sustainable, secure, and competitive energy future.

Investor.News Critical Minerals Media Coverage:

• April 03, 2024 – Ecclestone Takes Critical Mineral Hit Lists to Task in the Hallgarten + Co Resource Monthly “Debasing Criticality’s Currency” https://bit.ly/3IZLkwV
• April 03, 2024 – Disruptive Shift to Rare Earth Processing as Aclara Moves into American Market https://bit.ly/43J4C2V
• March 31, 2024 – Relief and Renewal: Canada’s METC Extension Breathes New Life into Mineral Exploration https://bit.ly/4cFr1lI
• March 29, 2024 – Boosting Market Interest Through the Strategic Advantage of a Stellar Advisory Board https://bit.ly/3vlAWwk

Investor.News Critical Minerals Videos:

• April 04, 2024 – Danny Huh on Neo Battery Materials’ Process Innovation, 9th Patent and Position in NBM Korea https://bit.ly/3VL2V2X

Critical Minerals IN8.Pro Member News Releases:

• April 04, 2024 – Power Nickel Announces C$2 Million Private Placement https://bit.ly/49meqkQ
• April 03, 2024 – Voyageur Pharmaceuticals Ltd Grants Deferred Share Units Compensation to Independent Directors https://bit.ly/3U3sDyH
• April 03, 2024 – Zentek Announces U.S. Distribution Agreement for ZenGUARDTM-Enhanced Surgical Masks with Medwell Solutions https://bit.ly/4cKM4U3
• April 03, 2024 – Defense Metals Appoints Guy de Selliers de Moranville to the Board of Directors https://bit.ly/3vzlxsj
• April 03, 2024 – Panther Metals PLC – Fulcrum Metals Announce Potential Disposal of Uranium Projects https://bit.ly/44012BX
• April 02, 2024 – First Phosphate Drills a 2 m Vein of Massive Apatite at Its Begin-Lamarche Project in Saguenay-Lac-St-Jean, Quebec, Canada https://bit.ly/3VIAGCb
• April 02, 2024 – Fathom Continues to Expand the Historic Gochager Lake Deposit to Depth with Intersections of Semi-Massive to Massive Sulphide Mineralization https://bit.ly/3TKmO7I
• April 02, 2024 – CBLT Announces Program at Past Producer Falcon Gold and Revisits Historical High Gold Values https://bit.ly/49jcVnl
• April 02, 2024 – Panther Metals PLC – Obonga Graphite: Awkward East Exploration Permit Application https://bit.ly/4atD3gm

In today’s monthly edition of Hallgarten & Co.‘s “Resources Monthly” for March 2024, titled “Debasing Criticality’s Currency,” the firm offers an intricate analysis of the evolving landscape in the critical metals and minerals sector. The publication navigates through the performance of various commodities, assessing geopolitical impacts and strategic movements by both governments and corporations within the space.

The issue begins with an overview of the metals market, noting, “Gold added massively to its price during the month as international tensions lit a fire under the price.” It goes on to describe the broader metals market, mentioning that “Inflation has stabilized and, in many places, has retreated,” and highlighting uranium’s unique position in the current market context. The analysis of tin and tungsten prices, alongside silver’s momentum, provides a comprehensive picture of the metals market dynamics.

The narrative shifts to critique the expansion of critical metals lists by governments, which the report suggests dilutes the actual concept of criticality. The publication humorously recounts instances where “Every man, and his dog, now thinks he has a critical metal,” pointing out the somewhat arbitrary expansion of these lists. It highlights a specific case where boron was lobbied to be recognized as a critical mineral due to its wide applications, despite there being “no shortage of Boron” and the US producing a significant portion of the global supply.

Further analysis is provided on regional strategies to promote local mining prospects through critical metals lists, with particular emphasis on the practices in Ontario, Quebec, and Australia. The report skeptically asks, “What are the criteria for inclusion beyond a desire to feather the nest of some projects?” pointing out the lack of genuine supply concerns for many of the metals being promoted.

On the corporate front, Hallgarten & Co. updates its Model Resources Portfolio, notably adding Applied Graphite Technologies Corporation (TSXV: AGT), citing the company’s promising position in the graphite market in Sri Lanka. The discussion extends to graphite mining’s prominence in Africa, with Tanzania and Mozambique mentioned as key players. Blencowe Resources PLC (LSE: BRES), with its significant graphite project in Uganda, is identified as a particularly promising investment.

Alphamin Resources Corp.‘s (TSXV: AFM) favorable position in the tin market is detailed, with the firm’s operational expansion poised to significantly increase its production capacity. Sheffield Resources Limited‘s (ASX: SFX) strategic investment in Capital Metals PLC (LSE: CMET) for the development of mineral sands in Sri Lanka is another highlight, demonstrating the firm’s focus on diversifying its investment portfolio. The issue concludes with a critique of the TSX 30, described as “nothing more than a ‘List of Successful Promotes’, not an index at all.” This critical view underscores the skepticism Hallgarten & Co. holds towards promotional tools that may not accurately reflect the genuine performance or potential of listed companies. To access this Hallgarten + Co. Report, click here

Welcome to the latest issue of the Technology Metals Report (TMR), brought to you by the Critical Minerals Institute (CMI). In this edition, we compile the most impactful stories shared by our CMI Director’s over the past week, reflecting the dynamic and evolving nature of the critical minerals and technology metals industry. Among the key stories featured in this report are the US’s pledge of $1.28 billion to ASX-listed rare earths firms to lessen China’s dominance in the sector, the looming uncertainty over the future of Flow-Through Financings in Canada as the METC deadline approaches, and Albemarle Corporation’s groundbreaking lithium auction aimed at enhancing pricing transparency. Additionally, the Biden administration’s ambitious rule to expand electric vehicles (EVs) and the examination of factors behind cooling EV sales growth emphasize the ongoing transformations and challenges within the critical minerals sector.

This week’s TMR Report also highlights several significant developments that further shape our understanding and approach to the critical minerals industry. The urging by the US Energy Secretary for Congress to ban uranium imports from Russia supports domestic nuclear fuel development, while China’s rebound in graphite exports for batteries signals geopolitical tensions and strategic resource control. The US’s efforts to incorporate Central Asia into its critical minerals supply chains, Indonesia’s investment in a new HPAL plant by Vale to boost nickel production for EV batteries, and CATL’s enduring ambitions despite a slight dip in quarterly earnings showcase the global landscape’s complexity and interconnectedness. Furthermore, Graphjet Technology’s innovative approach to producing greener graphite and the push to recognize phosphate and potash as critical minerals in the US underscore the ongoing efforts to secure and diversify supply chains. Lastly, Kazakhstan’s emerging potential to rival China in the production of rare-earth metals points to the shifting dynamics of global supply and the continuous search for strategic alternatives to current market dominators.

To become a Critical Minerals Institute (CMI) member, click here (https://criticalmineralsinstitute.com/join)

US pledges $1.28b for ASX rare earths stocks (March 21, 2024, Source) — The US aims to allocate $1.28 billion to ASX-listed rare earths firms, Meteoric Resources NL (ASX: MEI) and Australian Strategic Materials Limited (ASX: ASM) (ASM), to diminish China’s dominance in critical minerals necessary for decarbonization and defense. The US Export Import Bank’s (US EXIM) potential loans aim to support projects in Brazil and New South Wales, contingent upon US companies obtaining project contracts. This funding is part of wider US and Australian efforts to establish non-Chinese critical mineral supply chains, with additional support from the US Department of Defence and other agencies for various projects. This initiative underscores the strategic importance of diversifying global supply chains and bolsters the credibility and development prospects of companies like Meteoric and ASM in the critical minerals sector.

Anxiety Rises on the Future of Flow-Through Financings as METC Deadline Looms, Canadian Government Keeps Quiet (March 20, 2024, Source) — Facing the potential expiration of the Mineral Exploration Tax Credit (METC) at the end of March, the Canadian mining industry is gripped by uncertainty. This credit, crucial for supporting exploration companies through Flow-Through Share pricing, might not be renewed, threatening to raise capital costs by 15-20%. The federal government’s silence on the issue heightens anxiety, affecting planning and investments, especially for junior miners. Provincial credits in Ontario and Saskatchewan face similar fates, though Manitoba and British Columbia have permanent solutions. The industry is anxiously awaiting the federal budget announcement on April 16, hoping for a resolution. The potential loss of METC, combined with recent tax changes, could significantly impact exploration investment in Canada, underscoring the importance of government policy in the sector’s financial health.

Albemarle Lithium Auction offers a bold move forward in pricing transparency in the critical minerals market (March 20, 2024, Source) — Albemarle Corporation (NYSE: ALB), the largest lithium producer, is initiating a landmark auction on March 26 to enhance transparency and address price discovery issues in the lithium market. This move, highlighted by Jack Lifton of the Critical Minerals Institute (CMI), aims to mitigate the opacity and volatility that have long plagued the sector, exacerbated by the electric vehicle (EV) boom. Traditionally, lithium prices have been privately negotiated, lacking a clear global benchmark. Albemarle’s auction represents an innovative step towards establishing more transparent pricing, inviting competitive bidding for a significant lithium quantity. Although this initiative marks progress towards addressing market challenges, Lifton cautions it may not fully resolve the industry’s volatility and unpredictability, signaling a critical evolution in lithium pricing strategies amidst growing global demand.

Biden Administration Announces Rule Aimed at Expanding Electric Vehicles (March 20, 2024, Source) — The Biden administration unveiled a pivotal climate regulation, aiming to revolutionize the U.S. auto industry by ensuring a majority of new passenger vehicles sold by 2032 are electric or hybrid. This marks a major step in tackling climate change, given transportation’s status as the top carbon emitter in the country. Despite electric vehicles (EVs) constituting only 7.6% of car sales last year, this rule mandates a significant increase to meet a 56% EV sales target, with hybrids contributing an additional 16%. President Biden highlighted the initiative’s potential for economic growth, job creation, and significant environmental benefits, including a projected reduction of over seven billion tons of carbon dioxide emissions over three decades. However, the transition faces challenges, including manufacturing and infrastructure overhaul, political opposition, and consumer acceptance. The regulation, which introduces stringent emissions caps, has garnered both support for its environmental impact and criticism for its feasibility and potential economic implications. Critics argue it may impose undue pressure on the auto industry and consumers, while supporters see it as a crucial step toward a more sustainable future.

The cars, the chargers or the customers? A look at what’s behind cooling EV sales growth (March 20, 2024, Source) — Facing cooling growth in electric vehicle (EV) sales, automakers are adjusting their production strategies amidst increasing model availability. The sector balances optimism with skepticism regarding the shift away from fossil fuels, underlined by challenges like inadequate charging infrastructure impacting consumer choices. Events like CERAWeek by S&P Global highlight EVs’ potential to reduce oil demand, emphasizing the transition’s significance. Despite slower sales growth, companies like Ford report significant increases, pointing to the essential role of EVs in future automotive competitiveness. Addressing consumer concerns, particularly around charging reliability and infrastructure, alongside educating an evolving customer base, is pivotal for sustaining the industry’s growth momentum.

US energy secretary encourages Congress to ban uranium supplies from Russia (March 20, 2024, Source) — U.S. Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm has urged Congress to ban uranium imports from Russia to support domestic nuclear fuel development. This call comes in light of legislation passed by the U.S. House last December, aimed at halting these imports as part of the response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. However, the Senate has faced delays due to a hold by Senator Ted Cruz on unrelated issues. Granholm emphasized that passing this ban would release funds for expanding domestic uranium enrichment and producing high assay low enriched uranium (HALEU) for advanced nuclear reactors. She expressed optimism during a House hearing on her department’s budget, highlighting the urgency of this action to advance domestic nuclear energy capabilities.

China’s exports of graphite for batteries rise from December low (March 20, 2024, Source) — China’s natural graphite exports, essential for electric vehicle batteries, rebounded after Beijing’s December controls aimed at tightening its grip on vital minerals for advanced manufacturing. From a December low of 3,973 tonnes, exports rose to 6,275 tonnes in January and 10,722 tonnes in February, despite previously averaging about 17,000 tonnes monthly. The restrictions, viewed as a response to Western trade barriers, notably impact trade flows. Rising tensions are evident as the U.S. considers blacklisting Chinese semiconductor firms linked to Huawei Technologies, signaling an escalation in the technological rivalry. These developments underscore the strategic importance of graphite in the global tech industry and the geopolitical tensions surrounding access to critical manufacturing resources.

US Looks to Draw Central Asia Into Critical Minerals Supply Chains (March 18, 2024, Source) — The United States is actively seeking to integrate Central Asia into its critical minerals supply chains, a move underscored by the February 2024 inauguration of the Critical Minerals Dialogue (CMD) in the C5+1 format. This initiative, bolstered by the collective will of the U.S. and Central Asian nations—Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan—aims to bolster Central Asia’s role in global supply chains, thereby enhancing economic cooperation, facilitating clean energy transitions, and protecting regional ecosystems. Central Asia, rich in critical minerals like nickel, cobalt, palladium, rare earth elements (REEs), and others vital for high-tech, defense, and green technologies, represents a strategic alternative to China’s dominance in these supply chains. The U.S. is particularly keen to mitigate risks associated with China’s control over a significant portion of the world’s critical minerals processing and production. Through the CMD and other partnerships, the U.S. seeks to foster investment in Central Asia’s vast mineral resources, promising a potential shift in global economic and technological power dynamics while confronting strategic vulnerabilities and enhancing national security.

Indonesia says nickel miner Vale to build another $2 bln HPAL plant (March 18, 2024, Source) — Nickel miner PT Vale Indonesia is considering a $1.91 billion investment in a new high-pressure acid leaching (HPAL) plant on Sulawesi island, announced Indonesia’s Investment Ministry. This plant, named “SOA HPAL,” aims to produce mixed hydroxide precipitate (MHP), essential for electric vehicle batteries, with an expected annual output of 60,000 metric tons of nickel in MHP. Vale Indonesia, which is in the final stage of exploration, plans to collaborate with automakers for this venture. The company already has two HPAL projects underway in Sulawesi, partnering with Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt, and has Ford’s involvement in the $4.5 billion Pomalaa project. Additionally, Indonesia’s state mining company MIND ID recently acquired a 14% stake in Vale Indonesia, bolstering its position as a top shareholder.

CATL earnings slip masks charged-up ambitions (March 18, 2024, Source) — Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), the world’s largest electric car battery manufacturer, experienced a slight 1.2% decline in quarterly earnings, marking its first downturn since early 2022. Despite reduced factory utilization and the broader industry’s cooling sales growth, CATL is ambitiously expanding, planning new facilities to increase its production potential significantly. The company dominates the global market, boasting a 36.8% share and leading innovation with a large R&D team focused on advanced battery chemistries. Although facing challenges in the United States, CATL is making strategic moves abroad, including constructing a factory in the European Union. Investors remain optimistic, reflected in a stock price increase, as CATL’s scale, innovation, and strategic expansion position it to potentially outpace competition and maintain market leadership, despite potential overcapacity risks.

Startup Offers EV Firms Greener Graphite in Alternative to China (March 18, 2024, Source) — Graphjet Technology, an alternative energy startup in Malaysia, is offering electric-vehicle (EV) manufacturers a sustainable source of graphite by converting agricultural waste into this critical battery component. Utilizing palm kernels, the company can produce graphite with an 83% lower carbon footprint and at 80% less cost than traditional methods. Starting in the second quarter, Graphjet aims for an annual production capacity of 3,000 tons from its facility in Malaysia, a leading palm oil producer. This move provides a significant alternative to China’s dominance in the synthetic graphite market, responsible for 90% of the global supply. The U.S. is keen on diversifying its EV battery supply chain away from Chinese control, especially in light of China’s recent export restrictions on graphite. Graphjet’s initiative is timely, as it plans expansions in Nevada, Korea, Japan, and Europe, aiming to address the growing global demand and the U.S.’s need for a reliable graphite source outside China.

TFI: Phosphate and Potash are Critical Minerals, Senate Bill to Solidify (March 14, 2024, Source) — The Fertilizer Institute (TFI) has commended the U.S. Senate’s bipartisan effort to classify phosphate and potash as critical minerals, highlighting the move as crucial for securing the nation’s agricultural future and food supply. The legislation, backed by Senators from both parties, aims to ensure a resilient and sustainable domestic fertilizer supply for American agriculture by addressing the vulnerabilities in the global supply chain and geopolitical instability. With the majority of the world’s phosphate and potash concentrated in a few countries, and the U.S. heavily reliant on imports for its potash needs, this initiative seeks to mitigate supply chain risks. Recognizing these minerals as critical could streamline the permitting process for expanding and opening new mines in the U.S., a necessary step given the extensive time and financial investment required.

Kazakhstan’s Potential to Overtake China in Production of Rare-Earth Metals (March 14, 2024, Source) — Kazakhstan is on the verge of becoming a significant contender in the global rare-earth elements (REEs) market, challenging China’s dominance. With China controlling 70% of the market and facing strained relations with the West, North American and European investors are turning to Kazakhstan’s rich reserves as a strategic alternative. This shift is driven by the need to diversify supply chains away from China, given REEs’ critical role in technology and manufacturing. The US and EU are prepared to invest in Kazakhstan, aiming to secure a stable, sustainable supply of these vital materials. However, Kazakhstan must modernize its mining practices and carefully select investors to fully leverage its potential as a global REE supplier.

Investor.News Critical Minerals Media Coverage:

• March 20, 2024 – Anxiety Rises on the Future of Flow-Through Financings as METC Deadline Looms, Canadian Government Keeps Quiet https://bit.ly/3IKHmI7
• March 20, 2024 – Albemarle Lithium Auction offers a bold move forward in pricing transparency in the critical minerals market https://bit.ly/3vkpBwf
• March 20, 2024 – The Top 5 Reasons Why YouTube Will Transform Marketing for Public Companies https://bit.ly/3PvPnEC

Investor.News Critical Minerals Videos:

• March 20, 2024 – CBLT’S Peter Clausi on de-risking exploration projects with M&A https://bit.ly/3vfU6Uf
• March 20, 2024 – Chris Buncic on the “shocking” Chrysalis Copper timeline for production https://bit.ly/49ZGRGm
• March 19, 2024 – World Renowned Critical Minerals Expert Constantine Karayannopoulos is Bullish on Lithium https://bit.ly/43mOvbk
• March 19, 2024 – Peartree’s Ron Bernbaum on how Charitable Flow-Through Financings Connects Donors, Investors, and Mining Companies for Canada’s Exploration Capital https://bit.ly/4cj303V
• March 19, 2024 – Xcite Resources’ Jean-Francois Meilleur on the Athabasca Basin’s untapped potential for significant uranium discoveries https://bit.ly/49YQ9SK
• March 19, 2024 – Scandium Canada’s Guy Bourassa on One of the Largest Primary Scandium Projects in the World https://bit.ly/3TlHeUp
• March 18, 2024 – Rowena Smith Highlights ASM’s Operational Success at Korean Metals Plant in Rare Earth Metals Production https://bit.ly/3TH1jWS
• March 18, 2024 – Jack Lifton Sits Down with ‘Bobby’ Stewart, the Driving Force Behind Geophysx Jamaica’s Charge into the Global Arena with Critical Minerals https://bit.ly/3vhDtaG
• March 18, 2024 – WEALTH’s Peter Nicholson on the Added Benefits of Critical Mineral Flow Through Investment Deals in Quebec, Saskatchewan and Manitoba https://bit.ly/4a37xGk
• March 17, 2024 – John Passalacqua on First Phosphate’s groundbreaking achievements in the phosphate mining industry https://bit.ly/3VgRlwt
• March 17, 2024 – America Rare Earths’ Donald Swartz on the recent increase in in-situ resources at Halleck Creek by 64% to 2.34 billion tonnes https://bit.ly/3IGgvNv
• March 17, 2024 – Rowena Smith sits down with Jack Lifton on ASM’s ‘Mines to Metal’ Advantage in Supplying Rare Earths https://bit.ly/4cmIlMc

Critical Minerals IN8.Pro Member News Releases:

• March 21, 2024 – Hearty Bay Drilling Suggests Till Sampling May Lead to Source of Radioactive Boulders https://bit.ly/3ILHjvL
• March 21, 2024 – ASM receives US$600M (A$923 million) Letter of Interest from US EXIM for Dubbo Project, as US partnerships begin to play a significant role https://bit.ly/4ahxWQR
• March 20, 2024 – NEO Battery Materials Announces Change of Auditor to MNP LLP https://bit.ly/3VrGyQf
• March 20, 2024 – Power Nickel Continues to Expand its Near Surface High-Grade Cu-Pt-Pd-Au-Ag Zone 5km Northeast of its Main Nisk Deposit https://bit.ly/3IM5Cd5
• March 19, 2024 – First Phosphate Drills 9.44% P2O5 Over 89.10 m at Its Begin-Lamarche Project in Saguenay-Lac-St-Jean, Quebec, Canada https://bit.ly/43wi4qT
• March 19, 2024 – Defense Metals Appoints HCF International Advisers for Strategic Funding Review of Wicheeda REE Project https://bit.ly/3IGNMIo
• March 18, 2024 – American Rare Earths’ Scoping Study confirms low-cost, scalable world-class REE project https://bit.ly/3IJID2l

In a compelling interview at PDAC 2024, InvestorNews host Peter Clausi engaged with Darren Hazelwood, CEO of Panther Metals PLC (LSE: PALM), to discuss the company’s significant progress and exploration insights, particularly surrounding the Obonga Project near Thunder Bay. Hazelwood shed light on the company’s exploration achievements, notably at the Obonga Greenstone Belt, where Panther Metals has discovered substantial Volcanogenic Massive Sulphide (VMS) mineralization and several new VMS lenses through targeted drilling. These findings underscore the project’s potential to host Canada’s next VMS camp, a prospect supported by comparisons with the productive Sturgeon Lake Greenstone Belt. The CEO expressed confidence in the project’s scale and the promising indicators for further exploration success.

Adding to the narrative of exploration success, Panther Metals also provided an update on the graphite potential within the Obonga Project’s Awkward Prospect. The company’s focused drilling and historical data review have extended the graphite potential, revealing significant intersections of crystalline ‘flake’ graphite. This update, encompassing an additional 21.5 km² target area for graphite exploration, marks a pivotal expansion of Panther Metals’ mineral exploration endeavors in Canada. Hazelwood’s commentary highlighted the strategic importance of graphite in the context of global decarbonization, emphasizing the potential of the Awkward Prospect to contribute significantly to the supply of this critical mineral. With these developments, Panther Metals underscores its robust exploration strategy, leveraging technological advancements and extensive geological insights to uncover valuable mineral deposits within its diversified portfolio in Canada and through strategic investments in Australia.

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About Panther Metals PLC

Panther Metals PLC is an exploration company listed on the main market of the London Stock Exchange. Panther is focussed on the discovery of commercially viable mineral deposits. The Company’s operational focus is on established mining jurisdictions with the capacity for project scalability. Drill targets are assessed rapidly utilising a combination of advanced technologies and extensive geological data to decipher potential commercial viability and act accordingly. Panther’s current geological portfolio comprises of three highly prospective properties in Ontario, Canada while the developing investment wing focuses on the targeting of nickel and gold in Australia.

To learn more about Panther Metals PLC, click here

Disclaimer: Panther Metals PLC is an advertorial member of InvestorNews Inc.

This interview, which was produced by InvestorNews Inc. (“InvestorNews”), does not contain, nor does it purport to contain, a summary of all material information concerning the Company, including important disclosure and risk factors associated with the Company, its business and an investment in its securities. InvestorNews offers no representations or warranties that any of the information contained in this interview is accurate or complete.

This interview and any transcriptions or reproductions thereof (collectively, this “presentation”) does not constitute, or form part of, any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities in the Company. The information in this presentation is provided for informational purposes only and may be subject to updating, completion or revision, and except as may be required by applicable securities laws, the Company disclaims any intent or obligation to update any information herein. This presentation may contain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation. Forward-looking statements are based on the opinions and assumptions of the management of the Company as of the date made. They are inherently susceptible to uncertainty and other factors that could cause actual events/results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements. Additional risks and uncertainties, including those that the Company does not know about now or that it currently deems immaterial, may also adversely affect the Company’s business or any investment therein.

Any projections given are principally intended for use as objectives and are not intended, and should not be taken, as assurances that the projected results will be obtained by the Company. The assumptions used may not prove to be accurate and a potential decline in the Company’s financial condition or results of operations may negatively impact the value of its securities. This presentation should not be considered as the giving of investment advice by the Company or any of its directors, officers, agents, employees or advisors. Each person to whom this presentation is made available must make its own independent assessment of the Company after making such investigations and taking such advice as may be deemed necessary. Prospective investors are urged to review the Company’s profile on SedarPlus.ca and to carry out independent investigations in order to determine their interest in investing in the Company.

Welcome to the January 2024 Critical Minerals Institute (CMI) report, designed to keep you up to date on all the latest major news across the critical minerals markets. Here is the CMI List of Critical Minerals or visit the CMI Library.

Global macro view

January 2024 saw a slight rise in U.S. inflation reported from 3.1%pa in November to 3.4%pa in December 2023. This has led market commentators to suggest the proposed 2024 interest rate reductions may be pushed out to H2, 2024, or be smaller in nature.  

The next U.S. Fed rates announcement is due on January 31, 2024, and no changes in rates are expected. Year to date, as of January 21, 2024, the S&P 500 is up 2.04%. U.S. GDP looks set to slow in Q4, 2023 (announcement due 25 January 2024) with forecasts for 2% annualized growth, which would result in a 2023 GDP of ~2.7%. 2024 U.S. GDP is forecast to be ~2.2%. The U.S. consumer remains resilient with U.S. employment very strong.

China continues its property led slowdown with 2023 GDP recently reported at 5.2% annualized. China’s December new home prices fell at the fastest pace in almost 9 years. Despite this the Chinese Central Bank left rates unchanged, defying expectations for a 0.1% cut.

The Russia-Ukraine war continues as does the Hamas-Israel war which last month spread to include the U.S. and UK forces bombing Iran-backed Houthis over their attacks in the Red Sea. The Middle East is a hotbed ready to explode.   

Global plugin electric vehicle (“EV”) update

December 2023 saw the usual seasonal upswing in global plugin electric car sales reaching a record ~1.5 million. China led the way with a stellar result of 1.191 million units, up 46% YoY.

Global plugin electric car sales ended 2023 at 13.6 million units (~16% market share), for a growth rate of 31% YoY (a significant slowdown from the ~60% growth rate in 2022).

• Trend Investing forecast for 2024 is 17 million units (20% market share), for a growth rate of 25% YoY.
• BloombergNEF forecast for 2024 is 16.7 million units (~20% market share), for a growth rate of 21% YoY.

We are still at the very early stage of the EV boom.

In early January, news was released that a record 1.2 million EVs were sold in the U.S. in 2023, according to estimates from Kelley Blue Book. The report noted that U.S. market share reached 7.6% in 2023 and that 55% of EV sales were attributable to Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA).

The UK announced that their Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) mandate to increase electric car sales has become law. Key rules include:

• “ZEV Mandate demands makers up share of electric car sales to 22% in 2024.
• Electric vehicles currently make up around just 18% of all registrations in the UK.
• Mandate thresholds rise annually to an 80% share in 2030 – and 100% by 2035.
• Failure to meet the ZEV mandate sales targets can result in huge fines for auto makers of £15,000 per model below the required threshold.”

EV battery news

The U.S. government continues to tighten the screws towards developing their own EV supply chain independent of Foreign Entities Of Concern (“FEOC”). On January 20 Bloomberg reported: “US to ban Pentagon battery purchases from China’s CATL, BYD”. The ban will commence from October 2027 and include 4 other Chinese battery makers (Envision Energy Ltd., EVE Energy Co., Gotion High Tech Co., and Hithium Energy Storage Technology Co).

Global critical minerals update

There is an enormous amount of doom and gloom surrounding the EV and battery metals sector as we commence 2024. A key theme in recent months has been very depressed prices for many of the critical minerals, especially those related to the EV segment. A combination of the slowing EV growth rate in 2023 from ~60% in 2022 to ~31% in 2023, combined with an excess of battery inventory from 2022 and new EV metals supply has left most EV metal markets in surplus with prices collapsing.

Lithium

China lithium carbonate spot prices were flat the past month, with the price now at CNY 95,500/t (USD 13,275/t). After an ~80% fall from the high, lithium prices appear to have finally stabilized. This is logical given that prices are now at or below the marginal cost of production, especially for the higher cost China lepidolite producers.

Industry participants have been calling for a price bottom in recent months, with China Futures Co. analyst, Zhang Weixin, forecasting lithium prices to bottom out between CNY 80- 90,000/t and average CNY 100,000/t in 2024.

The other key recent trend in the lithium sector has been several announcements from lithium producers either stopping production or reducing their expansion plans. Core Lithium (ASX: CXO) announced on January 5, 2024 it will temporarily suspend mining operations. Then on January 17, 2024, Albemarle Corporation (NYSE: ALB) announced “actions to preserve growth, reduce costs, and optimize cash flow”. This includes deferring plans to build a fourth lithium hydroxide processing train at their Kemerton LiOH facility.

The China lithium carbonate spot price has stabilized near the marginal cost of production

On the topic of when we might see some recovery in lithium prices. On January 19 Fastmarkets put out a report stating: “…We expect orders to start flowing upstream again either towards the end of the first quarter or early in the second quarter.” If this proves correct and EV demand remains solid, then we could expect some lithium price recovery late Q1, early Q2, 2024.

Fastmarkets reports China lithium inventory levels are now back to the pre-boom levels with ~3 months of supply (red line)

Magnet Rare Earths

Neodymium spot prices fell again the past month to CNY 505,500/t. Prices peaked in February 2022 at CNY 1,506,530 and have been trending lower ever since then.

As discussed in a recent InvestorNews article, the consensus of industry experts is for 2024 to be a consolidation year. The article states: “2024 should see a year of consolidation for the rare earths sector as some experts are telling me. Some forecasts are for NdPr supply deficit to begin as early as 2024; however, this will largely depend on China demand, the global economy, EV sales, and new NdPr supply hitting the market.”

One interesting news item that emerged in January was of Rainbow Rare Earths Limited (LSE: RBW) (“Rainbow”) and their Phalaborwa Project in South Africa. The key aspect being that the Project consists of gypsum waste piles that contain large quantities of the magnet rare earths. Rainbow CEO Bennett stated: “We’ve got no mining cost, no crushing, no milling, no flotation. I saw the advantages to lead to a low capital intensity and low operating cost environment project.” Rainbow targets first production for 2026.

Some analysts are forecasting deficits ahead for NdPr rare earths driven by strong EV and wind energy demand

Cobalt, Graphite, Nickel, Manganese and other critical minerals

Cobalt prices (currently at US$12.90/lb) were flat the past month and remain at very depressed levels. The cobalt market is suffering from excess cobalt supply from the DRC which combined with a global slowdown in demand has led to cobalt prices dropping by almost 2/3 since their April 2022 peak. With LFP batteries gaining in popularity (no cobalt required) and a weak global consumer electronics market, there appears to be no short term turnaround for cobalt. Leading cobalt producer Glencore PLC (LSE: GLEN | OTC: GLCNF) has been stockpiling their excess material. At current prices, there is limited incentive for western producers to expand or enter the market.

Cobalt has lost two-thirds of its value since a recent peak in 2022

Flake graphite prices remain very weak with prices near the marginal cost of production and down ~2% over the past month.

A January 2024 Bloomberg report noted that natural flake graphite shipments slumped 91% in December from November 2023. Of course, sales surged prior to the Chinese export license permits being implemented in December 2023. December exports were 3,973 tons compared to the past monthly average of ~17,000t, so still a very significant fall.

Despite the spate of recent bad news, graphite is one of the EV metals with the largest demand profiles ahead this decade. Several groups are forecasting deficits ahead this decade starting from 2024/25 for the various types of graphite including flake, spherical, and synthetic. You can read more on the graphite outlook here.

Nickel prices fell again last month to USD 15,799/t. The 1 year outlook for nickel remains poor due to oversupply concerns from Indonesia. As a result of low nickel prices we saw the collapse of Panoramic Resources (ASX: PAN) in December and then on January 22, 2024, it was reported that BHP Group (ASX: BHP | NYSE: BHP) plans “to put parts of Kambalda nickel concentrator in Australia on care and maintenance” from mid-2024. This was caused by Wyloo Metals, which supplies ore to the plant, announcing a pause in mining operations due to low nickel prices.

Manganese prices were flat the past month and are now at CNY 29.25/MTU.

Uranium prices have been the exception to the rule the past year as they continue to rise, now at US$106/lb.

Uranium 5 year price chart

Conclusion

The biggest trend that looks to be emerging in Q1, 2024 for the EV metals sector is a negative supply response from producers. Producers are cutting CapEx, scaling back expansion, and in some cases reducing or stopping production. Expect to see a lot more of this in H1, 2024.

They say “the cure for low prices is low prices”. Well that’s exactly where we are now in the cycle. The next 3-6 months is likely to see the washout phase, where many miners collapse, reduce production or put their mine into care and maintenance. There is no point running a mine and selling a limited resource and making no profit. I will end with three well known sayings:

• “Bear markets are the author of bull markets”
• “Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.”
• “You have suffered through the pain, now hang around for the gain.”

Given the EV metals markets have been in a bear market for the past 15-18 months the end is near, and we should expect some recovery during H2, 2024, assuming EV sales can grow at a reasonable rate.

In an Investor.Coffee interview with Peter Clausi, Darren Hazelwood, CEO of Panther Metals PLC (LSE: PALM), discussed the company’s strategic focus and current projects. Panther Metals is dedicated to developing the next Volcanogenic Massive Sulphide (VMS) camp in Canada, a significant endeavor considering VMS deposits include valuable minerals like copper, zinc, lead, gold, and silver. The company’s exploration in the Obonga greenstone belt, located approximately 2.5 hours north of Thunder Bay by tarmac road, has already yielded promising results.

The company controls a substantial 90% of the greenstone belt, which is flanked by belts with multiple mines. Jim Franklin, a renowned prospector in Canada, believes the Obonga greenstone belt is a sister to the Sturgeon Lake District, known for its five productive mines from the late 60s to the 90s. Hazelwood emphasized the untapped potential of Obonga, highlighting its scale and the significant discoveries made, particularly at the pivot point where they are intensifying their efforts.

In addition to VMS, Panther Metals recently announced the discovery of a graphite deposit in the same belt, northwest of the VMS area, the Company’s exploration target area for graphite is currently 21 square kilometers. The 27-meter graphite strike, though of lower grade, signifies the abundance of graphite in the region, a commodity that has gained importance recently. The company’s substantial land holdings extend over 291 square kilometers, representing 90% of the greenstone belt.

Panther Metals also holds stakes in other companies, including 20% in Fulcrum Metals with a uranium project in Saskatchewan, and 23% in the ASX-listed Panther Metals company. They have projects near Hemlo, including the Dotted Lake Project and the Manitou Lakes Gold project. These holdings offer potential liquidity events and alternatives to diluting capital, aligning with the company’s strategy to maximize shareholder returns.

The company’s plans for 2024 focus on exploring the Wishbone and Survey VMS areas and the graphite deposit in Obonga. Hazelwood emphasized the importance of building relationships with the First Nations, recognizing the significance of their traditional lands and the value of mutual understanding and respect.

To access the rest of this interview, click here

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About Panther Metals PLC

Panther Metals PLC is an exploration company listed on the main market of the London Stock Exchange. Panther is focussed on the discovery of commercially viable mineral deposits. The Company’s operational focus is on established mining jurisdictions with the capacity for project scalability. Drill targets are assessed rapidly utilising a combination of advanced technologies and extensive geological data to decipher potential commercial viability and act accordingly. Panther’s current geological portfolio comprises of three highly prospective properties in Ontario, Canada while the developing investment wing focuses on the targeting of nickel and gold in Australia.

To learn more about Panther Metals PLC, click here

Disclaimer: Panther Metals PLC is an advertorial member of InvestorNews Inc.

This interview, which was produced by InvestorNews Inc. (“InvestorNews”), does not contain, nor does it purport to contain, a summary of all material information concerning the Company, including important disclosure and risk factors associated with the Company, its business and an investment in its securities. InvestorNews offers no representations or warranties that any of the information contained in this interview is accurate or complete.

This interview and any transcriptions or reproductions thereof (collectively, this “presentation”) does not constitute, or form part of, any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities in the Company. The information in this presentation is provided for informational purposes only and may be subject to updating, completion or revision, and except as may be required by applicable securities laws, the Company disclaims any intent or obligation to update any information herein. This presentation may contain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation. Forward-looking statements are based on the opinions and assumptions of the management of the Company as of the date made. They are inherently susceptible to uncertainty and other factors that could cause actual events/results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements. Additional risks and uncertainties, including those that the Company does not know about now or that it currently deems immaterial, may also adversely affect the Company’s business or any investment therein.

Any projections given are principally intended for use as objectives and are not intended, and should not be taken, as assurances that the projected results will be obtained by the Company. The assumptions used may not prove to be accurate and a potential decline in the Company’s financial condition or results of operations may negatively impact the value of its securities. This presentation should not be considered as the giving of investment advice by the Company or any of its directors, officers, agents, employees or advisors. Each person to whom this presentation is made available must make its own independent assessment of the Company after making such investigations and taking such advice as may be deemed necessary. Prospective investors are urged to review the Company’s profile on SedarPlus.ca and to carry out independent investigations in order to determine their interest in investing in the Company.

Welcome to the December 2023 Critical Minerals Institute (“CMI”) report, designed to keep you up to date on all the latest major news across the critical minerals markets. Here is the CMI List of Critical Minerals or click here to visit the CMI Library.

Global macro view

December 2023 saw a further fall in U.S. inflation from 3.2%pa in October to 3.1%pa in November. As expected the U.S. Fed left interest rates unchanged at their December meeting. Even more significant was the Fed indicated that there are potentially ‘3 interest rate cuts coming’ in 2024. This was an early Christmas present for U.S. equity markets which continued their recent rally. Year to date, as of December 26, 2023, the S&P 500 is up 25.75% and the NASDAQ is up an amazing 43.25%. Of course, this follows heavy falls in 2022.

In late December China signaled a possible early 2024 interest rate cut when they reduced bank deposit rates. As a result China 30 year government bond yields hit their lowest level since 2005. All of this recent support for China’s economy and property market looks likely to set up a potential China recovery story in 2024. If China starts to recover in 2024 it would be a positive for commodity markets including the critical minerals.

The Russia-Ukraine war drags on through the European winter. There are some very early signs that both sides may be willing to end the war in 2024. We will see. Meanwhile, the Hamas-Israel war has been contained for now. We can only hope for peace in 2024.

Global plugin electric vehicle (“EV”) update

Global plugin electric car sales were 1,279,000 in October 2023 (the second-best month ever), up 37% YoY. November global sales reached 1.4 million. December should be even better. CPCA expects China’s NEV (New Energy Vehicle) retail sales in December 2023 to reach a record 940,000 units (41.4% market share), up 46.6% YoY. That should mean December global EV sales will be around 1.5 million.

This means that 2023 global plugin electric car sales should end up close to 13.6 million (~17% market share), for a growth rate of ~29% YoY (a significant slowdown from the 56% growth rate in 2022).

In other EV related news, in December Germany announced an abrupt ending to their EV subsidy. The subsidy was originally intended to apply until the end of 2024.

We also heard news that the U.S. is considering raising tariffs on Chinese EVs and Chinese solar products. The White House plans to complete a tariff review in early 2024. Chinese EVs entering the USA already have a 25% tariff. This follows the EU’s probe into China subsidies for EVs. All of this has come about due to the fact that about 60% of all global plugin EV sales are in China and the fact that China completely dominates the EV market and EV supply chain. This is now leading to a flood of compelling Chinese electric cars being exported to global markets where Western manufacturers (excluding Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA)) are struggling to compete with China.

Finally, in December it was announced that Canada will require all new cars and trucks to be zero-emissions vehicles by 2035. The Canadian government stated: “The Standard will ensure that Canada can achieve a national target of 100 percent zero-emission vehicle sales by 2035. Interim targets of at least 20 percent of all sales by 2026, and at least 60 percent by 2030.”

Global critical minerals update

In December we got a key U.S. political announcement that will impact EV sales and critical minerals demand in 2024 and beyond.

U.S. Foreign Entity of Concern (“FEOC”) proposal

The U.S. DoE releases proposed interpretive guidance on Foreign Entity of Concern (“FEOC”) rules. FEOC’s include China, Russia, North Korea, and Iran. Key proposals include:

• Beginning 2024, companies that have >25% ownership or control by a FEOC will not be eligible for tax credits available under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA).
• Beginning in 2024, an eligible clean vehicle (for IRA credits) may not contain any battery components that are manufactured or assembled by a FEOC.
• Beginning in 2025, an eligible clean vehicle may not contain any critical minerals that were extracted, processed, or recycled by a FEOC.

These rules are quite strict and it is looking like the majority of EVs sold in the USA will not qualify in 2024 and hence not receive the subsidy of up to US$7,000 per vehicle. For example, the Tesla Model 3 and Model Y base range EVs use Chinese made LFP batteries, making them both ineligible to meet the FEOC rules. Things will only get harder in 2025. Of course, this is designed to motivate auto and battery OEMs to hurry up and build a new western battery supply chain, independent of FEOC.

The FEOC proposal follows last month’s news of new guidelines for the EU Critical Raw Materials Act (“CRMA”) as discussed here. A key ruling was that “not more than 65% of the Union’s consumption of each strategic raw material comes from a single third county.”

U.S. proposal to create a ‘Resilient Resource Reserve’ for key critical minerals

As reported in December, the U.S. select committee has recommended the creation of a critical mineral reserve to protect domestic industry. The Fastmarkets report stated:

“The adoption of such a reserve is intended to “insulate American producers from price volatility and (the People’s Republic of China’s) weaponization of its dominance in critical mineral supply chain. Such a reserve would be used to sustain the price of a critical mineral when prices fall below a certain threshold and would be replenished through contribution from companies when prices are “significantly” higher”…The fund would target critical metals where there is high price volatility, low US domestic production and import dependence on China. Cobalt, manganese, light and heavy rare earths, vanadium, gallium, graphite, germanium and boron are critical minerals that fall under that category, according to the report…”

Note: Bold emphasis by the author.

Lithium

China lithium carbonate spot prices fell again in December 2023, with the price now at CNY 96,500/t (USD 13,505/t) and down 82% over the past year. Prices are now below the marginal cost of production, meaning a bottom should be found very soon (assuming EV sales hold up in 2024).

Industry participants are increasingly calling a likely bottom. For example, China Futures Co. analyst, Zhang Weixin, forecasts China’s lithium carbonate spot to bottom out between CNY 80- 90,000/t  (US$11,200-US$12,600/t). Goldman Sachs is a little more bearish with a 1 year price target for China’s spot lithium carbonate of US$11,000/t.

The negative price action has not deterred SQM and Gina Reinhart’s Hancock Prospecting (private) who recently increased their bid to A$3.70 per share to takeover Australia’s Azure Minerals Limited (ASX: AZS).

In December we saw shareholders approve the Allkem Limited (ASX: AKE | TSX: AKE) – Livent Corporation (NYSE: LTHM) ‘merger of equals’ which is now expected to close by January 4, 2024. The new company is to be known as Arcadian Lithium PLC (NYSE: ALTM | ASX: LTM).

Finally, in December we got news that free markets supporter Javei Milei was elected as the new Argentina President. This is good news for those companies with mining projects in Argentina, of which there are many lithium projects under development.

The lithium carbonate spot price collapsed in 2023 and is now below the marginal cost of production and expected to form a bottom very soon

Magnet Rare Earths

Neodymium prices fell in December to CNY 560,000/t almost 1/3 the price of the February 2022 peak. The one year outlook remains quite weak; however, this will largely depend on how China’s economy performs in 2024. A strong pickup in EV sales in 2024 could quickly change the market dynamics.

The big news in December in the rare earths market this month was China’s announcement to ban the export of rare earth processing technology. As discussed in an InvestorNews article, Western companies have been efficiently separating rare earths for some time, so this ban has minimal implications. CMI Co-Chair and rare earths expert, Jack Lifton, states: “Solvent extraction separation is a long-established practice everywhere. The issue is the production of rare earth metals and alloys and from them of rare earth permanent magnets. This is where China’s massive lead in manufacturing technology may be insurmountable. Time will tell.”

Of course, the trend for Western auto OEMs is concerning, especially following China’s recent introduction of export license permits on graphite products (including synthetic graphite, flake graphite, and spherical graphite).

Cobalt, Graphite, Nickel, Manganese, and other critical minerals

Cobalt prices (currently at US$12.91/lb) were lower the past month and continue to be very depressed. China’s slowdown and the slowdown in global electronics sales have suppressed cobalt demand at the same time as new supply from the DRC and Indonesia has risen.

One glimmer of hope for the Western cobalt producers is that the U.S. government announced in December the creation of a critical mineral ‘Resilient Resource Reserve’ (as discussed above).

Flake graphite prices also remain very weak with prices near the marginal cost of production. Following the introduction of Chinese export license permits in December 2023 there has been some increased signs of buying activity and a slight graphite price improvement. However, the main concern for flake and spherical graphite is that lower energy input costs in China have lowered the cost of producing synthetic graphite, thereby dampening demand for flake and spherical graphite. Despite this, there are several analysts now forecasting graphite deficits to begin as soon as 2024/25 as you can read in a recent InvestorNews article here.

Nickel prices fell slightly in December to US$16,279/t. The 1 year outlook for nickel remains poor due to oversupply concerns from Indonesia. A recovering global economy and Chinese property sector will be needed to help balance the nickel market, which is currently in oversupply.

Manganese prices also fell slightly in December and are now at CNY29.20/MTU.

2023 has been a tough year for many critical mineral prices (except for gallium, germanium, tellurium, indium, tin, and uranium – a critical mineral in Canada) as a slowing China and global economy weighed down demand at a time where supply increased. Uranium was the standout performer in 2023 with a gain of over 75%. You can read an article here from back in April 2023 where we highlighted the coming rise of uranium.

The key to watch in 2024 will be if we see lower interest rates in China trigger a China property and economy recovery. A stronger U.S. and Europe in 2024 would also help boost the global economy and demand for critical minerals. Lower interest rates in 2024 could potentially make it a great year for the auto sector and EV metals.

Wishing you all a safe and prosperous 2024 from the Critical Mineral Institute (“CMI”).

2023 has been a rough year for all the EV materials and graphite was no exception. EV battery anodes contain a combination of spherical graphite (sourced from natural flake graphite) and synthetic graphite. Today we take a look at the key trends of 2023 and what we can expect in 2024 and beyond.

2023 graphite trends

A slowdown in the growth rate of EV sales in China along with less demand from the steel industry were mostly to blame for the graphite demand slowdown when compared to 2022. The other key factor was the excess anode capacity that came online during the 2022 China EV boom when EV sales skyrocketed.

China flake graphite prices fell throughout 2023 and have recently risen slightly from their bottom at ~US$550/t. China’s uncoated spherical graphite prices fell to US$2,200/t due to excess supply. China’s synthetic graphite prices were also weaker in 2023, due to slower demand.

A trend in 2023 was the increase in the popularity of synthetic graphite for use in battery anodes, particularly in China. Synthetic graphite prices have typically been much higher than flake graphite prices due to the high energy intensity needed to produce synthetic graphite. However falling energy input costs in 2023 and new capacity resulted in lower synthetic graphite prices and prices much closer to flake graphite. This led to anode producers increasing the ratio of synthetic graphite to spherical graphite in their anodes, and less demand for spherical and flake graphite.

Then in November 2023, the European Union added synthetic graphite to its list of critical materials as part of their Critical Raw Materials Act (“CRMA”).

Finally, in late 2023, China introduced temporary export permits for some graphite products (natural flake graphite, spherical graphite, & synthetic graphite) to apply from December 1, 2023. This has resulted in some recent price increases in the graphite market and a large amount of uncertainty around graphite products supply outside of China. China controls 75% of the global graphite anode supply chain.

The outlook for graphite in 2024

Most analysts are forecasting a fairly balanced graphite market in 2024, with the possibility of some price recovery from the 2023 cyclical lows. UBS tips graphite prices to surge 50% from the 2023 lows and has set its long-term flake graphite price at $850/t. UBS forecasts natural graphite demand rising by six times this decade to reach a demand of 6.3 million tonnes pa, with a deficit forming from 2025.

Others such as Macquarie Research are forecasting graphite deficits to begin in 2024 and increase each year to 2030.

Macquarie Research (as of March 2023) forecasts flake graphite deficits starting in mid 2024

The long-term outlook for graphite

Looking out further graphite demand is set to surge this decade and next due to the expected massive rise in global EV sales and energy stationary storage (“ESS”) battery demand. Below are 3 demand forecasts that give a guide as to what may happen over the long term.

• Benchmark Mineral Intelligence forecasts we will need 97 new 56,000tpa natural flake graphite mines from 2022 to 2035 to meet surging demand.
• The IEA forecasts flake graphite demand to rise 8-25x from 2020 to 2040.
• Trend Investing forecasts flake graphite demand to rise 17x from 2020 to 2037.

Trend Investing forecasts flake graphite demand to increase 17x from 2020 to 2037. The IEA forecasts a 8-25x increase from 2020 to 2040

Closing remarks

While 2023 has been a very tough year for the graphite sector the future looks much brighter, especially beyond 2025 when possible deficits are forecast to increase each year. For now, the flake graphite miners that are low-cost producers and who can develop integrated ‘flake to spherical graphite’ production stand to perform best. Several western graphite companies are rapidly advancing in this direction and are worth following closely.

Those graphite miners that can qualify their product to meet the IRA and/or the CRMA should also be at an advantage, especially with the U.S. Foreign Entity of Concern (“FEOC”) rules for critical materials commencing in 2025.

We will keep you updated on the graphite sector and miners in 2024.

Welcome to the November 2023 Critical Minerals Institute (“CMI”) report, designed to keep you up to date on all the latest major news across the critical minerals markets. Here is the CMI list of critical minerals (CMI List of Critical Minerals) or visit the CMI Library where critical minerals expert Alastair Neill tracks the latest critical mineral lists worldwide.

Global macro view

High interest rates (and cost of living increases) in most Western countries continue to be a drag on the global economy. Europe, in particular, continues to struggle. Last month saw a welcome fall in US inflation to 3.2%pa suggesting the US Fed may not need to raise rates at their December 12-13 meeting.

China has been ramping up support for their beaten down property sector and economy. The key hope for 2024 is that China’s property market stabilizes and their economy improves. Some early positive signs are appearing.

The Russia-Ukraine war continues as does the Hamas-Israel war. The outcomes of these conflicts can impact oil prices and hence inflation, meaning they are key events to monitor as we head into 2024.

Global electric vehicle (“EV”) update

November 2023 saw strong EV sales reported for September 2023. Global plugin electric car sales for September were a record 1,291,000 up 23% YoY to 17% market share.

In September, China sales were up 22% YoY to 37% share. Europe sales were up 15% YoY to 25% share. USA sales were up 59% YoY to 9.9% share.

Results look very promising for October 2023 with global plugin electric car sales on track to reach or exceed ~1.35 million. China’s October sales have been announced and they hit a new record of 956,000 sales.

2023 sales look set to finish at ~13.6 million and 17% market share, which would be a 29% increase on 2022 (10.522 million and 13% market share). A 29% growth rate in 2023 would be a significant slowdown on the 56% growth rate achieved in 2022.

Regarding US Battery Electric Vehicle (“BEV”) car sales, the EIA recently reported that “BEV prices are now within $3,000 of the overall industry average transaction price for light-duty vehicles.”

Global plugin electric car ‘monthly’ sales in 2023 (source)

Finally, reports of a slowdown in US EV demand are ‘fake news’. US electric car sales are achieving record sales in 2023 as we saw in the US Energy Information (“EIA”) announcement on November 27, 2023. The chart below gives a good summary. The fact that Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) and General Motors (NYSE: GM) are slowing down their EV production plans due to weak EV sales says more about their failure to produce well priced and desirable EVs rather than the US market as a whole. There is a similar situation with Volkswagen AG in Europe. Both BYD Company Limited (OTC: BYDDF) and Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) continue to rapidly expand their production and EV sales. Legacy automakers need to up their game or be left behind by the EV leaders Tesla and BYD who continue to go from strength to strength.

Electric vehicles and hybrids grow to a record-high 18% of U.S. light-duty vehicle sales (source)

Global critical minerals update

Western governments, led by the USA, have continued to ramp up support for a Western EV and battery supply chain. In November we had two key announcements:

• On October 31 The Government of Canada announced: “Government of Canada to enhance critical minerals sector with launch of $1.5 billion Infrastructure Fund…“Our investments will help the mining industry develop important enabling and supporting infrastructure such as roads and energy facilities required prior to construction of mines.”
• On November 15 Energy.gov announced: “Biden-Harris Administration announces $3.5 Billion to strengthen domestic battery manufacturing…As part of President Biden’s Investing in America agenda, the funding will create new, retrofitted, and expanded domestic facilities for battery-grade processed critical minerals, battery precursor materials, battery components, and cell and pack manufacturing…”

These are positive developments, however not enough is being done upstream to support the critical minerals ‘miners’ to get into production. The Canadian Government’s announcement above is reasonably well directed, but it is to be spread over 7 years and is nowhere near enough money for what is needed. The US Government’s effort is further supported on the back of previous announcements as part of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act (“IRA”) which intends to spend US$369 billion in energy security and climate change programs over ten years. However, most of the funds so far are to support battery manufacturing and EV plants and subsidies. More funds need to be put to use to help support the critical mineral mining companies, particularly as key critical minerals such as lithium is the bottle neck to ramp up western production of EV’s and energy stationary storage.

The IRA has been extremely successful so far at bringing EV and battery investments to the USA. For example, in November we heard a report of yet another US factory being planned with Toyota planning to invest US$8 billion in a North Carolina battery plant to increase EV capacity.

Over in Europe, the EU Critical Raw Materials Act (“CRMA”) has progressed to the next stage with ‘provisional’ agreement achieved, noting the increased focus on recycling. On November 13, the European Union Council announced:

“The Council and the European Parliament today reached a deal on the proposed regulation establishing a framework to ensure a secure and sustainable supply of critical raw materials, better known as the Critical Raw Materials Act. The agreement is provisional, pending formal adoption in both institutions…The political agreement reached today keeps the overall objectives of the original proposal but strengthens several elements. It includes aluminium in the list of strategic and critical materials, reinforces the benchmark of recycling, clarifies the permitting procedure for strategic projects, and requires relevant companies to perform a supply-chain risk assessment on their sourcing of strategic raw materials…On the global stage, the regulation identified measures to diversify imports of critical raw materials ensuring that not more than 65% of the Union’s consumption of each strategic raw material comes from a single third country…The provisional agreement keeps the benchmarks of 10% for extraction of raw materials and 40% for processing but increases the benchmark for recycling to at least 25% of EU’s annual consumption of raw materials…The provisional compromise also unifies the timings of the permit procedure. The total duration of the permit granting process should not exceed 27 months for extraction projects and 15 months for processing and recycling projects…Next steps. The provisional agreement reached with the European Parliament now needs to be endorsed and formally adopted by both institutions.”

Note: Bold emphasis by the author. Synthetic graphite was also added.

In November we did hear some more reports on sodium-ion batteries and how they can help meet the incredible battery demand needed for the green energy transition. Sodium-ion can help around the margin, but it will not replace lithium-ion. Sodium-ion batteries will be used for energy stationary storage and cheap (<US$10,000) low-end, low-range, small EVs. Beyond that, the sodium-ion battery as exists today will have limited demand. CATL is leading the way with sodium-ion battery manufacturing and is one to watch.

On November 25 The Fraser Institute reported:

“A total of 388 new mines must be built to produce the metals required to meet international government mandates for electric vehicle…The International Energy Agency (IEA) suggests that to meet international EV adoption pledges, the world will need 50 new lithium mines by 2030, along with 60 new nickel mines, and 17 new cobalt mines…Historically, however, mining and refining facilities are both slow to develop and are highly uncertain endeavors plagued by regulatory uncertainty and by environmental and regulatory barriers. Lithium production timelines, for example, are approximately 6 to 9 years, while production timelines (from application to production) for nickel are approximately 13 to 18 years, according to the IEA…The risk that mineral and mining production will fall short of projected demand is significant, and could greatly affect the success of various governments’ plans for EV transition.”

Note: Bold emphasis by the author.

Lithium

China lithium carbonate spot prices fell significantly in November 2023, with the price now at CNY 126,500/t (US$ 17,870/t) and down 78% over the past year. At these prices, marginal cost lithium producers in China are shutting down and Albemarle Corporation (NYSE: ALB) and JV partners at the Greenbushes Mine are considering production cuts in H1, 2024. A bottom is likely to form soon at or above CNY 100,000/t assuming global EV sales hold up at current rates of about 30% growth in 2023 and 2024.

Lithium takeovers continue despite weak sentiment

Chile’s SQM recently increased their takeover offer for Azure Minerals Limited (ASX: AZS) to US$900 million. Meanwhile, Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN) has been building an equity stake in Azure Minerals as well as buying a 19.85% equity interest in Wildcat Resources Limited (ASX: WC8), another WA lithium junior miner. Not to be outdone, Australian billionaire Gina Reinhart has recently bought a 19% interest in Azure Minerals. Reinhart was active in buying Liontown Resources Limited (ASX: LTR), ultimately leading Albemarle to withdraw their takeover offer.

At least it looks like the Allkem-Livent merger is still going ahead. Allkem Limited (ASX: AKE) and Livent Corporation (NYSE: LTHM) have received all required regulatory approvals globally for their ‘merger of equals’, expected to close by January 4, 2024.

All of this takeover activity from the major lithium companies suggests that we are near a bottom in the lithium price cycle and that the mid to long-term outlook for lithium remains very strong.

Rare Earths

Neodymium (“Nd”) prices fell in November and are currently sitting at CNY 610,000/t. The neodymium price is down 33% over the past year, but still well above the 2019 price.

Neodymium 5 year price chart (source)

On November 16 Rare Element Resources Ltd. (OTCQB: REEMF) announced receipt of the final NEPA approval for their rare earth processing and separation demonstration plant to be built in Upton, Wyoming, USA. The news stated: “The Company is awaiting next stage budget approval from the DOE, which is providing approximately 50% of the project costs, to commence construction.”

Cobalt, Graphite, Nickel, Manganese and other critical minerals

Cobalt prices (currently at US$14.85/lb) remained flat the past month and continue to be very depressed. China’s demand for NMC cathode material for EVs has been weak as LFP cathodes (no nickel or cobalt) have gained in popularity.

Flake graphite prices also remain very weak with prices near the marginal cost of production. The big news in the graphite world is China’s intention to temporarily enforce export license permits on three synthetic graphite-related items and six natural graphite-related items, starting from December 1, 2023. As a result, we have seen some buying activity and flake graphite prices rising in Europe.

Nickel prices fell further to US$16,593/t in November due to oversupply concerns from Indonesia and the depressed Chinese property sector.

Manganese prices also fell slightly in November.

The recent provisional agreement by the Council and the European Parliament to bolster the supply of critical raw materials with the proposed Critical Raw Materials Act heralds a pivotal advancement in Europe’s raw material strategy. Awaiting formal adoption, this agreement is a testament to the European Union’s commitment to transforming its raw material dependency into a pillar of continental strength.

Teresa Ribera Rodríguez, the acting Spanish third vice-president, underscores the significance of this initiative within Europe’s broader ecological and demographic ambitions. The regulation ambitiously aims to enhance the EU’s role in the extraction, processing, and recycling of 34 critical raw materials, with a special focus on 16 considered strategic. A key aspect of this agreement is the inclusion of aluminum in the strategic list and the emphasis on recycling, with benchmarks set to reach at least 25% of the EU’s annual raw material consumption.

This paradigm shift towards sustainable raw material management extends beyond environmental objectives, aiming to fortify economic resilience. The regulation seeks to diversify critical raw material imports, capping the EU’s reliance on any single third country to a maximum of 65% for each strategic raw material. This strategy is poised to spur innovation, as evidenced by the temporary classification of synthetic graphite as strategic and the provision for member states to veto projects within their jurisdiction.

Swiss mining giant Glencore PLC (LSE: GLEN | OTC: GLCNF | HK: 805) has aligned with these trends, announcing a pilot electric vehicle (EV) battery recycling plant. Initially eyeing Sardinia, the company is now scouting other locations across Europe and North America. This move mirrors the wider shift in the decarbonization and EV sector towards recycling, a strategic response to market fluctuations and environmental considerations.

Melissa Sanderson, Director of the Critical Minerals Institute (CMI), highlights that these developments are indicative of an overarching trend. The EU’s legislative emphasis on recycling over primary mining resonates with the decarbonization and electric vehicle sectors’ trajectory. Glencore’s strategic pivot to recycling efforts is a response to these evolving market and legislative landscapes.

The new EU regulations may also significantly impact Glencore’s broader initiatives. Should Italy ratify the proposed law, it could streamline the authorization process for Glencore’s larger recycling project, potentially relocating it to mainland Italy due to opposition in Sardinia. Sanderson notes that the industry’s exploration of alternative materials, beyond current focuses like lithium, signals a dynamic and evolving sector.

In conclusion, these developments indicate a major shift in the management of critical raw materials, steering towards a future where sustainability, economic resilience, and innovation are central to the EU’s industrial strategy. The anticipated Critical Raw Materials Act, integral to the Green Deal Industrial Plan, may not yet be formally adopted, but its influence on industry and environmental policy is already evident. As corporations like Glencore adapt to these changes, we can anticipate a continued evolution in the landscape of raw material management and recycling