EDITOR: | June 27th, 2022 | 7 Comments

The Critical Minerals List is Becoming More Critical

| June 27, 2022 | 7 Comments
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In a funky group of office buildings in Reston, Virginia sits the US Geological Survey (USGS), a bureau of the Department of the Interior that “provides science about the natural hazards that threaten lives and livelihoods; the water, energy, minerals, and other natural resources we rely on; the health of our ecosystems and environment; and the impacts of climate and land-use change.”

While it’s not clear from this cryptic mission statement, one of the important jobs of the USGS is the creation, every 3 years, of the US Critical Minerals list. The Energy Act of 2020 defines a critical mineral as “a non-fuel mineral or mineral material, essential to the economic or national security of the U.S., which has a supply chain vulnerable to disruption.” The current Critical Minerals list can be found here. It now lists 50 critical minerals critical to the U.S. economy and national security – 15 more commodities than the U.S.’s first list of critical minerals created in 2018. A large part of the increase in the new list of 50 is the result of splitting rare earth elements and platinum group elements into individual entries. Significantly, the USGS has added nickel and zinc to the list.

The list is compiled from research by USGS staff and a review of at least a thousand public comments. Having minerals on the list is supposed to be a good thing for mining companies, but the benefits are not obvious or quantifiable. Some argue that being on the list confers “soft” benefits, but permitting authorities like the EPA and Forest Service state explicitly that their process is the same whether the project involves critical minerals or not.

This might suddenly be changing, however. In February of this year, within a day or two of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the Biden administration issued an executive order requiring US agencies to “prioritize production and processing of certain critical minerals.”  While we don’t yet have case studies on what this will look like, it may be a sea change. And if you’re shocked it came from a Democratic administration, you’re in good company!

It now seems a reasonable bet that projects involving critical minerals may see expedited permitting and at least some relief from red tape. It’s also probable that the critical minerals list will expand, since as US relations with Russia and China deteriorate, US vulnerability to supply chain disruptions is growing. According to Forbes, if we break down the 90 minerals tracked by the USGS, the US is 50% import-dependent for 50 of them, and 100% import-dependent for 20. This is truly an Achilles’ heel of the US economy and military.

The threat posed by US reliance on foreign minerals is not abstract. In February of this year, in retaliation for US support of Taiwan, China banned rare earth exports to Raytheon and Lockheed Martin, forcing the latter to temporarily suspend production of the F-35 fighter jet. While some of those rare earth elements are now being re-sourced from other countries, it’s a process that can take months or years – which would be a real problem in wartime.

This example illustrates the gravity of the issue, and explains why politicians are taking note; it also explains why the process of designating critical minerals needs to become more dynamic.

A case in point is potash, 40% of which comes from Russia and Belarus, and all of which is now subject to sanctions. Potash was on the critical mineral list in 2018, came off the list in 2022 (because supply chain risk was deemed benign), and now should arguably go back on the list tomorrow. If the US is serious about the risk of foreign mineral dependence, the USGS may need to start working overtime.

Although it’s an imperfect document, the critical minerals list is carefully considered and may now become a bigger factor in the mining industry. The recent executive order looks like one of the few issues in Washington that can enjoy bipartisan support, and if the federal government follows through on pledges to “prioritize production and processing of….critical minerals,” expect the designation of critical minerals to become more politicized. Miners might want to start shopping for lobbyists, since the critical minerals list looks likely to become more….well…. critical.

The List:

  1. Aluminum, used in almost all sectors of the economy
  2. Antimony, used in lead-acid batteries and flame retardants
  3. Arsenic, used in semi-conductors
  4. Barite, used in hydrocarbon production.
  5. Beryllium, used as an alloying agent in aerospace and defense industries
  6. Bismuth, used in medical and atomic research
  7. Cerium, used in catalytic converters, ceramics, glass, metallurgy, and polishing compounds
  8. Cesium, used in research and development
  9. Chromium, used primarily in stainless steel and other alloys
  10. Cobalt, used in rechargeable batteries and superalloys
  11. Dysprosium, used in permanent magnets, data storage devices, and lasers
  12. Erbium, used in fiber optics, optical amplifiers, lasers, and glass colorants
  13. Europium, used in phosphors and nuclear control rods
  14. Fluorspar, used in the manufacture of aluminum, cement, steel, gasoline, and fluorine chemicals
  15. Gadolinium, used in medical imaging, permanent magnets, and steelmaking
  16. Gallium, used for integrated circuits and optical devices like LEDs
  17. Germanium, used for fiber optics and night vision applications
  18. Graphite , used for lubricants, batteries, and fuel cells
  19. Hafnium, used for nuclear control rods, alloys, and high-temperature ceramics
  20. Holmium, used in permanent magnets, nuclear control rods, and lasers
  21. Indium, used in liquid crystal display screens
  22. Iridium, used as coating of anodes for electrochemical processes and as a chemical catalyst
  23. Lanthanum, used to produce catalysts, ceramics, glass, polishing compounds, metallurgy, and batteries
  24. Lithium, used for rechargeable batteries
  25. Lutetium, used in scintillators for medical imaging, electronics, and some cancer therapies
  26. Magnesium, used as an alloy and for reducing metals
  27. Manganese, used in steelmaking and batteries
  28. Neodymium, used in permanent magnets, rubber catalysts, and in medical and industrial lasers
  29. Nickel, used to make stainless steel, superalloys, and rechargeable batteries
  30. Niobium, used mostly in steel and superalloys
  31. Palladium, used in catalytic converters and as a catalyst agent
  32. Platinum, used in catalytic converters
  33. Praseodymium, used in permanent magnets, batteries, aerospace alloys, ceramics, and colorants
  34. Rhodium, used in catalytic converters, electrical components, and as a catalyst
  35. Rubidium, used for research and development in electronics
  36. Ruthenium, used as catalysts, as well as electrical contacts and chip resistors in computers
  37. Samarium, used in permanent magnets, as an absorber in nuclear reactors, and in cancer treatments
  38. Scandium, used for alloys, ceramics, and fuel cells
  39. Tantalum, used in electronic components, mostly capacitors and in superalloys
  40. Tellurium, used in solar cells, thermoelectric devices, and as alloying additive
  41. Terbium, used in permanent magnets, fiber optics, lasers, and solid-state devices
  42. Thulium, used in various metal alloys and in lasers
  43. Tin, used as protective coatings and alloys for steel
  44. Titanium, used as a white pigment or metal alloys
  45. Tungsten, primarily used to make wear-resistant metals
  46. Vanadium, primarily used as alloying agent for iron and steel
  47. Ytterbium, used for catalysts, scintillometers, lasers, and metallurgy
  48. Yttrium, used for ceramic, catalysts, lasers, metallurgy, and phosphors
  49. Zinc, primarily used in metallurgy to produce galvanized steel
  50. Zirconium, used in the high-temperature ceramics and corrosion-resistant alloys

Source: United States Geological Survey.


Editor:

Robert ("Bob") Scannell has broad experience in finance, capital markets, economics, and investment management. Bob is managing partner at a family office investing in emerging ... <Read more about Robert Scannell>


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Comments

  • Tracy Weslosky

    Hallelujah, someone actually lists ‘the list’ — welcome Bob. I love it.

    June 27, 2022 - 11:17 AM

  • Nick Pingitore

    #5 Beryllium. US is far and away the largest producer in the world. BUT it’s on the list because of potential SPOF – Single Point of Failure. One mine, one processor. The listings are more complicated than they seem at first glance.

    June 27, 2022 - 7:24 PM

    • Jack Lifton

      Nick
      It’s even worse than you think. Last time I looked there was only one producer of tungsten rod used in armor piercing ammunition in the USA, and no producer of cobalt salts for batteries, or of battery grade lithium. The Chinese strictly prohibit the export of critical metals’ processing technology. From where are we going to “reshore” state of the art, competitive, technology.

      June 27, 2022 - 9:42 PM

  • Nick Pingitore

    Hi Bob and Jack,
    You called it – critical mineral 51 should be the supply/value chains to actually extract, purify, and process to a usable product any of the ores of the first 50 CMs, should we actually mine it domestically.

    June 27, 2022 - 10:41 PM

  • Jsaw

    Over 50% of Tin is used for soldering electronics

    You didn’t mention that

    I don’t trust your list

    #Fail

    June 28, 2022 - 11:54 AM

  • Hamid Akbari

    Whether a mineral should be in the list of critical minerals is a factor of timing. The reason that the USGS needs to update the list every three years is the fact that we don’t want to stay behind the sudden geopolitical challenges that occur at any given time. Since the entire world including the US is heavily dependent on China for majority of the minerals in this list, we would need investments on research and development projects specifically on the rare earth elements.
    Thanks.

    July 17, 2022 - 4:12 PM

    • Tracy Weslosky

      Do you work with the USGS on this list Hamid? Just curious, as we would be delighted if you did, and hope you will visit again.

      July 20, 2022 - 12:14 PM

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